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Prabowo’s Electability on a Steady Rise Since March: Polltracking

Yustinus Paat
January 19, 2024 | 11:03 pm
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Presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto, left, and running mate Gibran Rakabuming Raka arrive at the debate venue at the General Election Commission (KPU) building in Jakarta, Tuesday, Dec. 12, 2023. (Antara Photo/Galih Pradipta)
Presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto, left, and running mate Gibran Rakabuming Raka arrive at the debate venue at the General Election Commission (KPU) building in Jakarta, Tuesday, Dec. 12, 2023. (Antara Photo/Galih Pradipta)

Jakarta. Research agency Polltracking Indonesia reveals that the electability of presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto has experienced a consistent upward trend since March, gaining further momentum after announcing the son of President Joko Widodo as his running mate in October.

From March 2023 to early 2024, Prabowo has seen a remarkable increase of 19.5 points in Polltracking’s presidential surveys. In the latest poll conducted by Poltracking, 46.9 percent of respondents expressed their intention to vote for Prabowo in the upcoming February 14 election.

In contrast, rival candidate Ganjar Pranowo, who was an early favorite, witnessed a significant decline in popularity, dropping from 36.9 percent in March 2023 to 20.2 percent in January 2024. The third candidate, Anies Baswedan, experienced a 5.4-point increase in respondents’ votes, reaching 26.7 percent over the same period.

“Prabowo takes the lead across multiple regions, including Sumatra, West Java, East Java, Kalimantan, Bali, Nusa Tenggara, Sulawesi, Maluku, and Papua. Ganjar emerged as the preferred candidate in Central Java and Yogyakarta. In Banten and Jakarta, Prabowo and Anies are engaged in a closely contested battle,” Polltracking Executive Director Hanta Yuda said in Jakarta.

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The survey, conducted from January 1 to 7, involved 1,220 respondents across 34 provinces, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

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