double-skinned crabsVietnamese crab exportergood crabexellent crab

Commentary: Yuan's SDR Inclusion Impacts Global Financial Order and China's Capital Markets

Peter Wong
December 12, 2015 | 10:34 am
SHARE
China's commerce minister on Tuesday (21/02) sought to assuage concerns that foreign investment is leaving the country, saying claims to that effect were 'biased.' (Reuters Photo/Jason Lee)
China's commerce minister on Tuesday (21/02) sought to assuage concerns that foreign investment is leaving the country, saying claims to that effect were 'biased.' (Reuters Photo/Jason Lee)

In the beginning, it was a tourists’ currency. Then, traders and bankers began using it. Now, the yuan, or renminbi, is about to take another leap forward, into the realms of the world’s central banks.

On Nov. 30, the International Monetary Fund announced that the yuan would be included in its basket of so-called Special Drawing Rights, thus putting the Chinese currency on par with main reserve currencies such as the US dollar and the euro.

The move represents a major step along the yuan's path from a national currency to an international one. It also presages more of the financial and capital-account liberalization that forms part of China’s overall economic reform efforts.

Just over a decade ago, yuan usage was largely confined to mainland China. Hardly any of China’s trade with the rest of the world was settled in yuan, and the market for yuan-denominated bonds was non-existent.

ADVERTISEMENT

By now, more than a quarter of China’s trade is settled in yuan. Various cross-border schemes allow foreign investors to buy stocks and bonds in mainland China. A large pool of offshore yuan that is freely convertible for trade payment and investment also exists – Hong Kong being the largest offshore center with some 1 trillion yuan in funding.

The SDR inclusion — long an aspiration for policy makers in Beijing — sends several important messages.

It underlines just how far the Chinese currency has come, and vindicates Beijing’s financial-market reforms to date. The yuan may not yet be freely convertible, but the developments so far reinforce the view that the yuan is on track for full convertibility within the next few years.

At the same time, the SDR decision serves as a “sign” of long-term quality assurance: it underlines that the currency is liquid and stable as a store of value. Also, it will also give greater confidence to companies and institutions around the world to settle trade in yuan and invest in yuan-denominated assets.

In other words, SDR inclusion is a big psychological confidence-booster.

In terms of financial flows, the inclusion in the SDR basket will prompt some central banks to adjust their holdings of the Chinese currency. The yuan has been assigned a 10.92 percent weighting in the SDR basket, higher than that of the pound and the yen.

Central banks and reserve managers who hold assets denominated in SDRs, or who match their reserves to the SDR, will need to adjust their yuan holdings accordingly. According to a survey of central banks carried out earlier in the year, the yuan will make up an estimated 2.9 percent of foreign exchange reserves by the end of this year — and will account for 10 percent of world reserves by 2025.

Finally, and perhaps most importantly, the SDR inclusion presages still more financial and capital account liberalization.

In the run-up to the IMF’s twice-a-decade review of the SDR basket composition, policy makers in Beijing had stepped up financial reforms in a bid to attain inclusion.

This July, the People’s Bank of China made it easier for other central banks, sovereign wealth funds and international financial institutions such as the World Bank to invest in China’s inter-bank bond market, where the vast majority of China’s government and corporate bonds are traded.

In August, the authorities gave market forces a greater role in how the central parity rate of the yuan against the US dollar’s daily trading band is determined.

And last month, China increased the quotas that limit how much South Korean and Singaporean institutional investors can invest through the Renminbi Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor scheme, one of the cross-border investment channels into mainland China’s capital markets. It also designated Malaysia as a new RQFII participant.

The SDR inclusion is not the end of this reform story. On the contrary, it is likely to prompt more moves by China to progressively open its doors to two-way capital flows.

A Shenzhen-Hong Kong equivalent of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, which allows investors from both sides direct access to each other’s market, is in the works.

So is a scheme that will start allowing retail investors in mainland China to invest overseas, and could unleash billions of yuan in Chinese savings onto global stock, bond and real estate markets.

The quotas that currently cap the amount of foreign capital that can flow into China via an array of cross-border investment channels could be raised further, and could ultimately even be abolished. And the governance and administration of these various channels could be harmonized in a bid to make it easier for foreigners to invest in mainland China.

As China seeks to rebalance its economy towards more consumption, services and higher-value manufacturing, it needs a more open capital account: liberalization will help support economic growth, improve the allocation of capital, and help bring down borrowing costs.

The SDR inclusion’s importance is far more than just symbolic. The global financial system needs to get ready for a fundamental change — and for the imminent arrival of a new player in the form of a rapidly internationalizing yuan.

Peter Wong is deputy chairman and chief executive of the Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC). 

Tags: Keywords:
Google Add Investor.id as a preferred source on Google +
SHARE

Related Articles


Business Oct 14, 2026 | 4:22 pm

Jakarta Stocks Gain as IMF Raises Indonesia’s Growth Forecast

Jakarta stocks rose 0.29% as the IMF upgraded Indonesia’s growth outlook and Fed signals lifted sentiment.
Business Oct 14, 2026 | 9:39 am

IMF Upgrades Indonesia’s 2026 Growth Forecast to 5.1%

Indonesia has yet to beat Vietnam as the fastest-growing ASEAN economy.
Business Jul 10, 2026 | 9:15 am

Jakarta Stocks Gain as Asian Markets Rally Despite Iran War

JCI gained 0.5% at Friday's open, tracking a broad Asian rally as global markets stabilized despite lingering US-Iran uncertainty.
Business Jul 8, 2026 | 8:51 pm

IMF Cuts 2026 Global Growth Forecast to 3% as Iran War Fuels Energy Shock

The IMF cut its 2026 global growth forecast to 3%, citing the Iran war's energy shock, while AI investment helps cushion the impact.

The Latest


Special Updates 15 minutes ago

AEON MALL Deltamas Brings 11 Sports and Creative Competitions to AEONLYMPIC 2026

AEON MALL Deltamas hosts AEONLYMPIC 2026, featuring 11 sports and creative competitions, with more than 3,100 participants.
Business 42 minutes ago

Indonesian Stocks Extend Losses for Third Day, Fall 3.64% to 4,996

Indonesian stocks fell 3.64% on Monday, extending losses for a third straight session amid MSCI concerns and tighter trading limits.
News 2 hours ago

Prabowo Calls Meeting on Forest Fires as Haze Reaches Jakarta, Singapore

Prabowo summons senior officials to discuss forest fires as smoke reaches Jakarta and Malaysia pushes for regional action.
Lifestyle 3 hours ago

Jakarta Outranks Amsterdam in Global Public Transport Survey

Jakarta climbs two places to 15th in Time Out's 2026 public transport survey, with its governor citing better network integration.
Business 4 hours ago

MSCI Concerns, Tighter IDX Trading Rules Send Indonesian Stocks Down 5% by Midday

Indonesian stocks plunge 5% by midday as MSCI concerns weigh on sentiment and the IDX tightens its daily downside limit to 7%.
COPYRIGHT © 2026 JAKARTA GLOBE. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED