Jakarta. A vote recapitulation sampling from 2,000 polling stations nationwide indicates a narrow victory for the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) in the Feb. 14 general elections.

According to the quick count by Cyrus Network and the Central Strategic and International Studies, the PDI-P, which dominated the previous election with over 20 percent of the vote and controlled the presidential office for the last two terms, led the tally with 16.46 percent of the vote. 

The joint work concluded the recapitulation of 100 percent of votes from the 2,000 polling stations on Sunday.

The PDI-P edged past the Golkar Party by just 1.32 percentage points, marking the smallest margin by a winning party since the beginning of the Soeharto era.

Golkar rose to second place by surpassing the Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra), whose chairman, Prabowo Subianto, is poised to secure an outright win in the simultaneous presidential election. Gerindra received 13.91 percent of the vote.

The National Awakening Party (PKB), which relied heavily on the support from the followers of the country’s biggest Muslim organization Nahdlatul Ulama, ranked fourth with 10.87 percent of the vote.

The quick count also indicated that eight incumbent parties will hold power in the House, with the Muslim-based United Development Party (PPP) becoming the only incumbent to fall short of the parliamentary threshold of 4 percent of popular votes.

The Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI) also failed to meet the threshold with just 2.67 percent of the vote despite having welcomed President Joko Widodo’s son, Kaesang Pangarep, as its new chairman months before the election day.

Results from the presidential election align with the quick counts by other major pollsters.

"The pair of Prabowo and Gibran [Rakabuming Raka] takes the lead with 58.25 percent, followed by Anies [Baswedan] and Muhaimin [Iskandar] with 24.91 percent, and Ganjar [Pranowo] and [Mohammad] Mahfud with 16.84 percent,” Cyrus Network CEO Eko Prasetyo Galan said in Jakarta.

Eko claimed that in the 2019 elections, the quick count by Cyrus Network and CSIS differed by only 0.12 of a point from the official tally by the General Election Commission (KPU), making the joint work the most accurate among other independent pollsters.

"Such accuracy was a result of highly disciplined methodology and professional management. Quick count is a miracle in the applied statistical science and becomes one of the effective tools in safeguarding democracy,” Eko said.

Results from the Cyrus-CSIS tally in the parliamentary elections are as follows:

1. Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDIP) 16.46 percent
2. Golkar Party 15.14 percent
3. Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra) 13.91 percent
4. National Awakening Party (PKB) 10.87 percent
5. National Democratic Party (Nasdem) 9.15 percent
6. Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) 8.63 percent
7. Democratic Party 7.53 percent
8. National Mandate Party (PAN) 6.99 percent
9. United Development Party (PPP) 3.54 percent
10. Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI) 2.67 percent
11. United Indonesia Party (Perindo) 1.39 percent
12. People’s Conscience Party (Hanura) 0.84 percent
13. Gelora Party 0.82 percent
14. Labour Party 0.73 percent
15. Ummat Party 0.46 percent
16. Crescent-Star Party (PBB) 0.37 percent
17. Garuda Party 0.27 percent
18. Nusantara Awakening Party (PKN) 0.23 percent

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