double-skinned crabsVietnamese crab exportergood crabexellent crab

Rupiah Declines Against Dollar Amid Geopolitical Unrest

Whisnu Bagus Prasetyo
April 16, 2024 | 11:51 am
SHARE
Rp 100,000 bills seen in Jakarta on January 31, 2024. (Antara Photo/Muhammad Adimaja)
Rp 100,000 bills seen in Jakarta on January 31, 2024. (Antara Photo/Muhammad Adimaja)

Jakarta. The Indonesian rupiah depreciated against the US dollar in Tuesday's trading session, driven by escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, coupled with uncertainty surrounding the delay in the US Federal Reserve's interest rate cut.

According to Bloomberg data, the rupiah weakened to Rp 16,170 per dollar, marking a decline of 322.0 points (2.03 percent) compared to the previous session.

"Concerns over the postponed US interest rate cut and heightened geopolitical tensions have bolstered the US dollar while putting pressure on the rupiah," financial analyst Ariston Tjendra said on Tuesday.

He emphasized that the Middle East conflict, particularly Iran's actions against Israel, has heightened market apprehensions of a potential new war, which could disrupt supplies, elevate inflation, and hinder global economic growth.

ADVERTISEMENT

Bhima Yudhistira, Executive Director of the Center of Economic and Law Studies (Celios), warned that the Israel-Iran conflict might cause the rupiah to weaken to Rp 17,000.

"The escalation in oil prices could widen energy subsidies, thereby leading to the depreciation of the rupiah exchange rate," explained Bhima Yudhistira on Sunday. "Consequently, the rupiah may weaken to Rp 17,000 per US dollar, from the current level of Rp 15,000."

US consumer prices remained elevated last month due to increased costs in gas, rents, auto insurance, and other items. This development is likely to give pause to the Federal Reserve as it assesses the frequency or necessity of interest rate cuts this year.

Additionally, market movements were influenced by the release of China's first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data.

China's economy surpassed expectations in the first quarter, benefiting from supportive policies and heightened demand, as reported by the government on Tuesday.

The world's second-largest economy expanded by 5.3 percent annually in January-March, outpacing analysts' forecasts of around 4.8 percent. Compared to the previous quarter, growth increased by 1.6 percent.

Meanwhile, following the extended Eid holiday break, the Composite Stock Price Index (IDX) opened lower on Tuesday, declining by 176.132 points (2.42 percent) to reach 7,110. Although the initial decline moderated, the index remained in negative territory.

Tags: Keywords:
Google Add Investor.id as a preferred source on Google +
SHARE

Related Articles


Business 8 hours ago

Rupiah Strengthens to Rp 17,992 as Investment Data Lifts Sentiment

Rupiah gains 0.30% to Rp 17,992 per dollar as strong investment realization and easing US-Russia tensions lift market sentiment.
Business Oct 16, 2026 | 4:32 pm

Rupiah Buckles Under MSCI Pressure, Sinks Past Rp 18,000

Rupiah fell 0.50% to Rp 18,027 per dollar as MSCI’s proposed downgrade of Indonesia’s market status rattled investor confidence.
Business Oct 16, 2026 | 10:49 am

Bank Indonesia Defends Rupiah as MSCI Review Fuels Selling Pressure

Bank Indonesia pledges continued market intervention as the rupiah breaches Rp 18,000 per dollar amid MSCI-related selling pressure.
Business Oct 16, 2026 | 9:44 am

Rupiah Breaks Rp 18,000 as MSCI Review Triggers Market Turmoil

Rupiah breached Rp 18,000 per USD as MSCI's proposed market reclassification rattled investor sentiment and intensified market pressure.
Business Oct 12, 2026 | 6:17 pm

Rupiah Edges Toward Rp 18,000 as Riyadh Attacks Rattle Markets

Rupiah weakens to Rp 17,913 per dollar as Fed rate hike fears, Middle East tensions and MSCI uncertainty weigh on sentiment.
Business Oct 9, 2026 | 5:21 pm

Rupiah Strengthens to Rp 17,899 per Dollar Despite Fiscal Deficit

Rupiah rose 0.09% to Rp 17,899 per dollar despite Indonesia’s Rp 319 trillion budget deficit and ongoing US-Iran tensions.
Business Oct 6, 2026 | 4:52 pm

Rupiah Gains as World Bank Upgrades Indonesia’s 2026 Growth Forecast

Rupiah strengthens to Rp17,899 as the World Bank raises Indonesia’s 2026 growth forecast to 5.2%.
Business Oct 5, 2026 | 9:02 am

Jakarta Stocks Open Higher on US Jobs Data, BI Policy Support

Jakarta stocks opened higher as weak US jobs data boosted hopes for a Fed rate pause, while BI continued supporting the rupiah.
Business Sep 29, 2026 | 6:46 pm

Rupiah Struggles to Hold Gains After Breaching Rp 18,000

Rupiah is forecast to weaken as high oil prices and Fed rate hike bets keep pressure on the currency after it breached Rp 18,000.
Business Sep 29, 2026 | 11:20 am

Rupiah Breaches Rp 18,000 per Dollar on Tuesday as US Yields Pressure Emerging Markets

Rupiah fell to Rp 18,002 per US dollar as a stronger greenback and elevated US yields pressured emerging-market currencies.

The Latest


News 5 hours ago

Ferry Burns for Hours Near Merak After Passengers and Crew Escape

The Batumandi ferry fire is the latest in a series of serious passenger vessel accidents reported in Indonesia over the past five months.
Business 6 hours ago

Indonesia Attracts $2.5 Billion Palm Oil Investment So Far in 2026

In Q3 alone, Indonesia saw Rp 14.9 trillion ($829 million) worth of investments coming to its value-added palm oil processing.
Business 6 hours ago

Minimum Wage Hikes Fail to Keep Up With Rising Living Costs

Indonesia’s 2026 minimum wage hikes offer limited relief as rising prices erode purchasing power and job insecurity persists.
News 8 hours ago

Prabowo Government Gets Poor Ratings from 66% of Surveyed Professionals

According to the findings, 66% of respondents rated the government's overall performance as poor or very poor.
Business 8 hours ago

Rupiah Strengthens to Rp 17,992 as Investment Data Lifts Sentiment

Rupiah gains 0.30% to Rp 17,992 per dollar as strong investment realization and easing US-Russia tensions lift market sentiment.
COPYRIGHT © 2026 JAKARTA GLOBE. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED