‘Anything Can Happen’: Indonesia Should Focus on Domestic Market as US-China Tariff War Cools
Jakarta. The Indonesian Employer Association (Apindo) urged the government to focus on improving its domestic market, as household consumption still largely drives Indonesia’s growth amid a three-month tariff pause between the United States and China.
The two world’s largest economies have recently decided to roll back most of their tariffs on each other’s goods for 90 days. The US has agreed to slash its combined tariff rate on Chinese imports from 145 percent to 30 percent temporarily. China’s import tax on US goods will also drop from 125 percent to 10 percent during the truce. But the latest trade de-escalation does not mean Jakarta should let its guard down, according to Apindo’s chairwoman, Shinta Kamdani.
The seasoned businesswoman said the government should come up with ways to boost domestic consumption. At the same time, Jakarta should keep negotiating with US President Donald Trump’s team to "bring down or even eliminate" the 32 percent tariffs on US-bound Indonesian goods that would take effect early July, Shinta said.
“I’m not sure when this [trade war ceasefire] will last. ... It’s possible Trump will change his mind again, so let’s not just pin our hopes on uncertain deals,” Shinta told reporters in Jakarta on Tuesday evening.
Last month, Trump decided to slap a 10 percent baseline tariff on all US imports. He intends to further increase the tariffs for many of the US trading partners, including Indonesia -- the hikes were supposed to come into effect on April 9, but got postponed to July 9. Indonesia still has some time before the higher tariff hikes of 32 percent enter into force.
“Perhaps this is all just part of Trump's strategy. I wouldn’t even be surprised if Trump ends up imposing just the 10 percent tariffs, [and not proceed with the reciprocal tariff plan],” Shinta said.
She added: “So anything can happen, but we should pay attention to our domestic market. This remains a huge homework that we need to address. … Our economy is not mainly driven by exports, but by household consumption. … So let’s talk about how we can improve the people’s purchasing power and what sort of stimulus that [Indonesia can give to boost consumption].”
Shinta’s comment came not long after Indonesia announced its Q1 2025 growth had slowed to 4.87 percent year-on-year (yoy), missing the 5-percent range that the country had been hovering at.
Household consumption contributed 2.61 percentage points to the Q1 growth. The spending made by Indonesian households was about threefold of what net exports contributed to the Q1 2025 growth, which reached 0.83 percentage points, official statistics showed.
Household consumption grew 4.89 percent yoy in the first quarter, marking a slower pace compared to 4.91 percent yoy compared to the same period in 2024. Despite the slower growth, Shinta said that Apindo would keep its 2025 full-year economic projections within the range of 4.8 percent and 5.1 percent.
Tags: Keywords:Related Articles
Trump’s New Press Secretary Out After Less Than a Week
Katie Zacharia’s brief White House tenure ends after less than a week, following a short first briefing and reported tensions over her role.Defying Trump, Zelensky Says Will Keep Hitting Russian Refineries
Russia on Thursday said Ukraine had attacked an oil refinery in Ryazan, south of the capital, Moscow.Fury as US Federal Agents Search Ilhan Omar's Home
"Make no mistake: this is an attempt to target political enemies and weaponize federal law enforcement," Omar wrote on X.‘It’s Trump Who Sets Oil Price’: Prabowo’s Brother
Neither the Indonesian government nor OPEC sets the oil price, Hashim Djojohadikusumo says.Navi Pillay, South African Rights Champion, Wins Nobel Peace Prize
"If you clap a little bit more, I may share this prize with Trump," the 85-year-old said.Apindo Warns Labor Bill Could Stall Investment, Job Creation
Apindo warns Indonesia’s proposed labor bill could deter investment and business expansion, slowing formal job creation.Trump Vows to Hit Iran 'Very Hard' If Linked to Flydubai Attack
The US leader's threat of retaliation came as he took a harsher tone on the stalled Iran war overall.Trump Slammed for 'Illegal' US TV Ads Funded by Taxpayers
Mike Levin, a Democratic member of the House of Representatives, said: "It’s propaganda, and you’re paying the bill."Airlangga Says Indonesia Won’t Face US Tariffs Over Russian Oil
Airlangga says Indonesia won’t face US tariffs over Russian oil bought within an allowed window.Masoud Tells Trump that Iran Will Never 'Bend at the Knee'
Pezeshkian accused Washington of "terrorism" for assassinating former supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei at the start of the conflict.The Latest
Chandra Asri Group Receives Trade Finance Excellence Award, Reinforcing Its Role in Indonesia’s Industrial Development
Chandra Asri Group receives the Trade Finance Excellence Award at CIMB Niaga Business Summit 2026.AEON MALL Deltamas Brings 11 Sports and Creative Competitions to AEONLYMPIC 2026
AEON MALL Deltamas hosts AEONLYMPIC 2026, featuring 11 sports and creative competitions, with more than 3,100 participants.Indonesian Stocks Extend Losses for Third Day, Fall 3.64% to 4,996
Indonesian stocks fell 3.64% on Monday, extending losses for a third straight session amid MSCI concerns and tighter trading limits.Prabowo Calls Meeting on Forest Fires as Haze Reaches Jakarta, Singapore
Prabowo summons senior officials to discuss forest fires as smoke reaches Jakarta and Malaysia pushes for regional action.Jakarta Outranks Amsterdam in Global Public Transport Survey
Jakarta climbs two places to 15th in Time Out's 2026 public transport survey, with its governor citing better network integration.Most Popular
