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Indonesia’s Six-Year Surplus Era Ends with $1.61 Billion Deficit

Jayanty Nada Shofa
July 1, 2026 | 1:02 pm
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President Prabowo Subianto stares at the camera when he attends a business forum with Danantara CEO Rosan Roeslani (left) and Energy Minister Bahlil Lahadalia (right) in Washington on February 20, 2026. (Antara Photo/Hafidz Mubarak A)
President Prabowo Subianto stares at the camera when he attends a business forum with Danantara CEO Rosan Roeslani (left) and Energy Minister Bahlil Lahadalia (right) in Washington on February 20, 2026. (Antara Photo/Hafidz Mubarak A)

Jakarta. Indonesia has bid farewell to its six-year surplus streak with a $1.61 billion deficit in May amid sky-high crude prices, according to data shown by the official statistics agency BPS on Wednesday.

Indonesia’s trade balance had already weakened to around $89.1 million in April before further plummeting to a negative $1.61 billion the following month. 

“Oil and gas deficit of $3.76 billion had mainly driven the negative trade balance [in May],” BPS deputy Ateng Hartono told a press conference.

Jakarta blamed the lost streak in crude purchases, which comes as no surprise, as oil prices have soared following Iran’s persistent blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

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“Our non-oil and gas goods trade saw a surplus of $2.15 billion that month,” Ateng said.

Imports had risen to $24.81 billion in May 2026, up by 22.16% year-on-year (yoy). Oil and gas imports had jumped 70.78% yoy to $4.51 billion in May, during which the US-Iran war was already on its three-month mark. Non-oil goods coming into Indonesia also rose 14.89% yoy in value to $20.30 billion. 

China remains Indonesia’s largest contributor to the overall negative trade balance. The deficit swelled from $8.15 billion in January-May 2025 to $10.17 billion in the same period the following year. 

Indonesia has been enjoying a surplus since May 2020 as it gradually bounced back from Covid-19 shocks. Economists have warned that Indonesia could fall into the red amidst the US-Iran conflict. 

Blockades at the Strait of Hormuz are affecting global energy supplies as the narrow sea channel sees a fifth of the world’s oil exiting the Persian Gulf for customers across the globe. The global crude benchmark Brent had steadied above $73 per barrel on Wednesday as the warring sides sought to cool down tensions, even repeatedly breaking the 100-dollar-a-barrel barrier. The rupiah has also remained under pressure against the greenback.

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