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JCI Nears 7,000 Amid Fiscal Concerns and US-Iran Watch

Ria Fortuna Wijaya, Associated Press
May 4, 2026 | 9:09 am
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A trader points at an electronic board displaying market data at the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in Jakarta on Friday, March 6, 2026. (B-Universe Photo/David Gita Roza)
A trader points at an electronic board displaying market data at the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in Jakarta on Friday, March 6, 2026. (B-Universe Photo/David Gita Roza)

Jakarta. Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) opened higher and pushed toward the 7,000 mark on Monday morning, rising 32 points or 0.46% to 6,988, with early trades briefly testing the 7,007 level.

Early trading remained active, with 7.01 billion shares changing hands worth Rp 697.33 billion ($40.2 million) across 81,476 transactions. Gainers dominated at 342 stocks, against 135 decliners, while 219 were unchanged.

Phintraco Sekuritas said the benchmark is at a key juncture this week as it tests the psychological 7,000 level, projecting movement within a range of 6,850–7,150, with 7,000 as the pivot.

Oil prices weakened after Iran sent a new peace proposal to the United States via Pakistan, though President Donald Trump later said he was not satisfied with the offer. Trump is also facing a 60-day deadline under the War Powers Resolution related to military actions tied to the Iran conflict. His administration argues that a ceasefire in place since April 7, 2026 has effectively ended hostilities, allowing him to avoid seeking congressional approval.

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“Investors will monitor the potential for another round of talks between the US and Iran,” Phintraco Sekuritas wrote in a note on Monday. “They will also watch US labor data and ISM services data.”

Domestically, investors are looking ahead to a series of key releases this week, including manufacturing PMI, trade balance and inflation data due Monday, followed by first-quarter 2026 GDP on Tuesday, as well as foreign reserves, property price index and car sales data.

Phintraco also highlighted widening fiscal pressures. Indonesia’s 2026 state budget recorded a deficit of Rp 240.1 trillion ($13.8 billion) as of end-March, equivalent to 0.93% of GDP, up from 0.43% a year earlier. The wider deficit reflects a 31.4% surge in government spending to Rp 815 trillion, while revenue reached Rp 574.9 trillion, or 18.2% of the full-year target.

“Investors will be watching fiscal developments closely, particularly concerns over discipline and the potential impact on the broader economy,” the brokerage said.

Regionally as of 9:16 a.m. Jakarta time, South Korea’s Kospi jumped 3.74% to 6,845, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 1.76% to 26,230.

Markets in Japan and China were closed for national holidays.

On Friday, US stocks closed at fresh records, supported by stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and easing oil prices. The S&P 500 gained 0.3% to a new all-time high, marking its fifth consecutive weekly advance, the longest streak since 2024. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 152 points, or 0.3%, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.9% to a record.

Apple led gains after reporting quarterly profit and revenue above expectations. The iPhone maker’s 3.3% rally provided the biggest boost to the S&P 500, reflecting its outsized weight in the index.

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