Bank Indonesia Cites Geopolitics, Fed Uncertainty Behind Rupiah Decline
Jakarta. Bank Indonesia on Wednesday said the recent weakening of the rupiah was largely driven by global currency pressures, rather than domestic fundamentals.
Erwin Hutapea, head of BI’s Department of Monetary and Securities Asset Management, said the rupiah’s movement in early 2026 has been shaped by escalating global geopolitical tensions, concerns over central bank independence — particularly in the United States — and uncertainty surrounding the future policy direction of the Federal Reserve. These external factors have coincided with increased demand for foreign currency in Indonesia at the start of the year.
“These conditions pushed the rupiah lower, closing at Rp16,860 per dollar on Jan. 13, or a 1.04% depreciation year to date,” Erwin said in a statement.
He said Bank Indonesia has actively entered the market to ensure the rupiah moves in line with its fundamental value and within a healthy market mechanism. The central bank will continue to optimize pro-market monetary operation instruments to maintain adequate liquidity, he added.
“Our objective is to support sustainable economic growth while achieving inflation targets and maintaining rupiah stability,” Erwin said.
Measures taken by the central bank to stabilize the currency include interventions in the offshore non-deliverable forward (NDF) market across Asia, Europe, and the United States, as well as interventions in the domestic market, including purchases of government bonds in the secondary market.
Erwin noted that foreign capital inflows — particularly into Bank Indonesia Rupiah Securities (SRBI) and the equity market — had reached a net Rp 11.11 trillion ($658.7 million) by mid-January, helping to shield the rupiah from sharper volatility.
Investor sentiment toward Indonesia remains positive, he said, as reflected in the country’s five-year credit default swap (CDS) premium, which remains low at around 72 basis points.
“Indonesia’s external resilience also remains solid, as shown by foreign exchange reserves at the end of December 2025, which stood at $156.5 billion, equivalent to 6.4 months of imports,” Erwin said. “This level is adequate as a buffer against global financial market pressures.”
Tags: Keywords:Related Articles
Indonesia Says Aggressive Rate Hikes Are Helping Stabilize Rupiah
Indonesia says recent rate hikes are helping stabilize the rupiah, though economists warn monetary policy alone is not enough.Bank Indonesia Cuts Foreign Currency Purchase Threshold to $10,000
Indonesia is tightening foreign exchange rules by lowering thresholds for undocumented currency purchases and transfers.Rupiah Weakens Furher against US Dollar Despite Latest BI Rate Hike
Rupiah weakened to Rp 17,794 per US dollar despite BI's rate hike as investors awaited MSCI's review outcome.Bank Indonesia Lifts BI Rate to 5.75%
Bank Indonesia raised its benchmark rate to 5.75% to support the rupiah as the currency weakened to Rp 17,796 per US dollar.Stronger Ringgit, Singapore Dollar Drive Tourist Spending in Batam
Batam sees a surge in Malaysian and Singaporean tourists as stronger currencies boost shopping and SME sales.Government Debt Growth Drives Indonesia’s External Debt to $439.8B
Indonesia's external debt rose to $439.8 billion in April as higher government borrowing offset lower private debt.Bank Indonesia Says Higher Rates Are Attracting Foreign Capital Back
Foreign investor participation increased in SRBI instruments following the central bank's June 10 auction.Economic Buffer Under Pressure as Middle Class Continues to Shrink
BI’s surprise rate hike and a 32% fuel price increase are squeezing Indonesia’s middle class, raising risks of economic decline.Suharto-Era Finance Minister Says Current Rupiah Weakness Is Not a Repeat of 1998
“The situation today is very different from 1998. Back then, GDP growth had already fallen to negative 13%,” Fuad said.Airlines Tighten Seatbelts Amid Rupiah Turbulences
About 70% of an airline operational costs are paid in the greenback, setting a major obstacle amid a weakening rupiah.The Latest
Lamine Yamal Scores in Spain's 4-0 Demolition of Saudi Arabia
He has helped Spain win the European Championship in 2024 despite being just 16 years old when the tournament started.4,000 Workers at Nike Supplier in Indonesia Sent Home as New Orders Dry Up
Feng Tay Indonesia Enterprises is part of Taiwan-based Feng Tay Group and has operated in Indonesia since 1992.Indonesia Says Aggressive Rate Hikes Are Helping Stabilize Rupiah
Indonesia says recent rate hikes are helping stabilize the rupiah, though economists warn monetary policy alone is not enough.Ayase Ueda Scores Twice in Japan’s 4-0 Win Against Tunisia
Japan’s four goals were the most the Samurai Blue had ever scored in a World Cup game.Jakarta Completes Rasuna Said Revamp, Removes 109 Derelict Pillars
Jakarta has completed the transformation of Rasuna Said, removing 109 abandoned monorail pillars and upgrading public spaces.Most Popular
